Shimmering-Age · Polymarket wallet 0xb121…b73c

Wallet snapshot

Shimmering-Age has made 515 trades on Polymarket across 42 markets, $520K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (60%) and tech (19%). On 36 resolved markets the win rate is 94.4%, lifetime P&L +$8,372. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $23K · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $4,675 · 86¢ → 94¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $2,922 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1,314 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $127 · 86¢ → 12¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes · $29 · 96¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes · -$186 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$284 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes · +$137 · Aug 25, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? No · +$115 · Aug 1, 2026
• Netanyahu out by July 31?No · +$37 · Aug 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · +$300 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.