Embarrassed-Return · Polymarket wallet 0xb095…4e63

Wallet snapshot

Embarrassed-Return has made 168 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $1,127 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and sports (28%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Jul 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $168 · 31¢ → 87¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $20 · 21¢ → 86¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $5 · 37¢ → 18¢
• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 11¢ → 3¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes · $1 · 32¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes · -$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No · -$1 · Jul 20, 2026

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