Buchan · Polymarket wallet 0xb088…a343

Wallet snapshot

Buchan has made 50 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (56%) and sports (33%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $5 · 83¢ → 84¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $2 · 97¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No · -$4 · Jul 30, 2026
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No · -$5 · Jun 8, 2026
• Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Yes · +$37 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jun 7, 2026
• Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)No · +$24 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No · -$8 · May 31, 2026
• Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)No · +$38 · May 31, 2026
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No · $0 · May 30, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · May 24, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.