macdiannao · Polymarket wallet 0xb039…787c

Wallet snapshot

macdiannao has made 25 trades on Polymarket across 15 markets, $463 in volume. Most of it is in economics (40%) and politics (20%). On 13 resolved markets the win rate is 92.3%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Mar 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $92 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No · $5 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $2 · 11¢ → 2¢
• Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes · $0 · 0¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes · +$7 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No · -$0 · Mar 13, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No · +$0 · Mar 13, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$3 · Feb 24, 2026
• Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes · +$0 · Feb 24, 2026
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2 · Feb 2, 2026
• Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · +$0 · Feb 2, 2026
• US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes · +$0 · Jan 16, 2026
• Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 16, 2026

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