Polymarket wallet 0xae5e…aadd

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xae5e…aadd has made 235 trades on Polymarket across 118 markets, $351 in volume. Most of it is in economics (11%) and geopolitics (10%). On 102 resolved markets the win rate is 59.8%. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes · $1 · 34¢ → 50¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · $1 · 56¢ → 78¢
• Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?No · $1 · 72¢ → 95¢
• Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?Yes · $1 · 77¢ → 84¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 66¢ → 68¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 33¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 24¢
• Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?Yes · +$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?No · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026

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