tj1 · Polymarket wallet 0xae4e…3507

Wallet snapshot

tj1 has made 382 trades on Polymarket across 209 markets, $3,891 in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%) and geopolitics (25%). On 203 resolved markets the win rate is 65.5%, lifetime P&L +$79. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jul 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $23 · 51¢ → 64¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $22 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $16 · 68¢ → 72¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $3 · 55¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No · +$28 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 20, 2026
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Jun 22, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$19 · Jun 2, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$22 · Jun 1, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$67 · May 15, 2026
• UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$5 · May 14, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$11 · May 12, 2026
• Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes · +$6 · May 10, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No · +$9 · May 9, 2026

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