Polymarket wallet 0xad42…5d73

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xad42…5d73 has made 3,002 trades on Polymarket across 1,157 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in sports (57%) and geopolitics (23%). On 1,101 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L +$126. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Jul 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $8 · 76¢ → 96¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $6 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes · $5 · 19¢ → 77¢
• EU dissolves before 2027?No · $5 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $4 · 17¢ → 59¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 81¢ → 97¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 85¢ → 41¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No · $1 · 76¢ → 23¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 42¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No · -$1 · Sep 7, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 22, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No · +$1 · Aug 21, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.