GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.51M
14,425 trades
Smart Whales
623
of 2,422 traders · 7 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

224 YESvs406 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 121 YES vs 297 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$82 of $31.5K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $6.1K·NO $25.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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