Merlot · Polymarket wallet 0xac45…20c5

+$19,218 lifetime P&L · 67.2% win rate · 1,836 resolved markets · 0xac4502d32af912ac03deaece6b294d3c4f8e20c5

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Wallet snapshot

Merlot has made 10,308 trades on Polymarket across 1,848 markets, $811K in volume. Most of it is in politics (59%) and crypto (10%). On 1,836 resolved markets the win rate is 67.2%, lifetime P&L +$19K. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Jul 19, 2026.

Latest closed positions

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$9 · Jul 19, 2026
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?Yes · -$1 · Jul 19, 2026
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $0 · Jul 19, 2026
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $0 · Jul 19, 2026
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · +$13 · Jul 11, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$40 · Jul 9, 2026
Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes · +$28 · Jul 9, 2026
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes · +$8 · Jul 9, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes · +$4 · Jul 9, 2026
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes · +$150 · Jul 9, 2026

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