apap004 · Polymarket wallet 0xabef…5c2e

Wallet snapshot

apap004 has made 7,704 trades on Polymarket across 1,940 markets, $235K in volume. Most of it is in sports (96%). On 1,918 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L -$13K. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?". Last trade: Oct 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No · $11 · 76¢ → 77¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes · $9 · 64¢ → 56¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes · $7 · 69¢ → 82¢
• Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?No · $6 · 72¢ → 97¢
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?Yes · $6 · 12¢ → 14¢
• Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?No · $4 · 75¢ → 65¢
• Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · $4 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes · $4 · 1¢ → 1¢
• Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No · $3 · 84¢ → 50¢
• Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes · $2 · 0¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Counter-Strike: A NATA vs Hacha Esports - Map 1 WinnerNo · +$3 · Oct 20, 2026
• Counter-Strike: WBT vs Nexus - Map 2 WinnerYes · +$6 · Oct 19, 2026
• Counter-Strike: 9INE vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 WinnerYes · +$4 · Oct 19, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Synapse vs TheBot$ - Game 2 WinnerYes · +$11 · Oct 19, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs ex-6666 - Map 2 WinnerYes · +$8 · Oct 19, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Synapse vs TheBot$ - Game 1 WinnerYes · +$4 · Oct 19, 2026
• Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - DraculaN Group DYes · +$3 · Oct 19, 2026

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