losru · Polymarket wallet 0xa9b0…444e

Wallet snapshot

losru has made 651 trades on Polymarket across 108 markets, $67K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (52%) and economics (18%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 79.8%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran leadership change by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $137 · 80¢ → 89¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $91 · 85¢ → 84¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $45 · 69¢ → 56¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $32 · 83¢ → 84¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $29 · 86¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$15 · Sep 30, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$2 · Aug 20, 2026
• Iran leadership change by August 31?No · +$6 · Aug 4, 2026
• Iran leadership change by July 31?No · +$0 · Jul 25, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes · -$56 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes · -$35 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No · +$4 · Jul 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.