Gregarious-Climate · Polymarket wallet 0xa65b…43b4

Wallet snapshot

Gregarious-Climate has made 54 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $5,047 in volume. Most of it is in politics (67%) and geopolitics (6%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L +$306. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $1,678 · 67¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $1,323 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?Yes · $231 · 83¢ → 96¢
• Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?No · $201 · 89¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$113 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$20 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$8 · Oct 26, 2026
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No · -$12 · Jun 22, 2026
• Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No · -$17 · Jun 22, 2026
• Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes · +$141 · Jun 22, 2026
• Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No · -$201 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No · +$19 · Jun 19, 2026
• Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?No · +$142 · May 24, 2026
• Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No · +$22 · May 24, 2026

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