LB1T · Polymarket wallet 0xa5a4…84a0

83.5% win rate · 291 resolved markets · 0xa5a46a183c89561ca66e6b8d57b94b68a14d84a0

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Wallet snapshot

LB1T has made 428 trades on Polymarket across 296 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (25%) and politics (23%). On 291 resolved markets the win rate is 83.5%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jun 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $334 · 79¢ → 98¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · $278 · 88¢ → 98¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · $24 · 81¢ → 97¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $9 · 35¢ → 15¢
US recession by end of 2026?Yes · $3 · 44¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No · +$12 · Jul 1, 2026
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes · +$26 · Jun 16, 2026
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?No · +$6 · Jan 5, 2026
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No · +$27 · Jan 5, 2026
Macron out in 2025?No · +$10 · Jan 5, 2026
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 5, 2026
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes · +$30 · Jan 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.