Celstef · Polymarket wallet 0xa408…d831

Wallet snapshot

Celstef has made 22,119 trades on Polymarket across 2,810 markets, $164K in volume. Most of it is in sports (96%). On 2,804 resolved markets the win rate is 79.7%, lifetime P&L +$5,902. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jan 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $27 · 77¢ → 91¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $11 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $3 · 21¢ → 10¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $0 · 6¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · -$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?Yes · -$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes · -$3 · May 31, 2026
• Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No · $0 · May 27, 2026
• Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes · -$11 · May 26, 2026
• Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No · -$42 · May 22, 2026
• Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No · +$3 · May 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.