Xiaoliziya · Polymarket wallet 0xa3cd…03af

Wallet snapshot

Xiaoliziya has made 518 trades on Polymarket across 207 markets, $2,755 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (29%) and sports (17%). On 165 resolved markets the win rate is 64.2%, lifetime P&L +$32. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Aug 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $42 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $38 · 52¢ → 74¢
• 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No · $32 · 51¢ → 80¢
• Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No · $25 · 75¢ → 95¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $22 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes · $14 · 36¢ → 27¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $11 · 89¢ → 95¢
• 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes · $8 · 51¢ → 21¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 77¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $6 · 86¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No · -$0 · Aug 22, 2026
• Government shutdown by October 1?No · +$1 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · -$0 · Jul 20, 2026

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