Long-Stage · Polymarket wallet 0xa1a5…f928

Wallet snapshot

Long-Stage has made 454 trades on Polymarket across 109 markets, $10K in volume. Most of it is in sports (71%) and geopolitics (14%). On 100 resolved markets the win rate is 57%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $141 · 39¢ → 56¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $134 · 64¢ → 86¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $41 · 37¢ → 31¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 18¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?No · +$21 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes · +$29 · Sep 21, 2026
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$13 · Sep 4, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No · +$59 · Aug 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes · +$7 · Aug 4, 2026
• GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No · +$24 · Jul 8, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes · -$16 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes · +$78 · Jun 29, 2026
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No · +$12 · Jun 22, 2026

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