Grubby-Bottom · Polymarket wallet 0xa06f…1b36

Wallet snapshot

Grubby-Bottom has made 62 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $184 in volume. Most of it is in sports (62%) and geopolitics (23%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 71.9%, lifetime P&L +$15. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Feb 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $6 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No · $2 · 72¢ → 68¢
• SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No · $2 · 57¢ → 67¢
• Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes · $1 · 40¢ → 33¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $1 · 84¢ → 95¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $1 · 88¢ → 96¢
• SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes · $1 · 39¢ → 33¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 13¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Jun 13, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · May 9, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No · +$0 · May 8, 2026
• Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes · +$0 · Mar 16, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes · -$1 · Mar 4, 2026
• Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?No · +$1 · Mar 1, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.