pbshine · Polymarket wallet 0x9def…d1a5

Wallet snapshot

pbshine has made 25,063 trades on Polymarket across 1,849 markets, $3.7M in volume. Most of it is in sports (43%) and geopolitics (15%). On 1,766 resolved markets the win rate is 51.5%, lifetime P&L +$133K. It holds 35 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $2,812 · 21¢ → 22¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $2,070 · 6¢ → 10¢
• Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?Yes · $1,680 · 51¢ → 56¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1,550 · 80¢ → 78¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?Yes · $1,510 · 73¢ → 76¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No · $1,204 · 19¢ → 21¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes · $1,111 · 19¢ → 12¢
• Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1,106 · 26¢ → 20¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $940 · 74¢ → 63¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $934 · 4¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · +$26 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$49 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?Yes · -$3,634 · Nov 12, 2026
• Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?Yes · +$527 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · +$1,508 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$3,520 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.