Defiant-Marathon · Polymarket wallet 0x9bb4…8d70

Wallet snapshot

Defiant-Marathon has made 280 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $22K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (87%) and sports (8%). On 94 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L -$200. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No · $1,014 · 78¢ → 78¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?No · $139 · 87¢ → 93¢
• Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No · $131 · 52¢ → 66¢
• Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No · $92 · 86¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?Yes · +$4 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?No · +$8 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No · +$141 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No · +$343 · Jul 8, 2026
• Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?No · -$106 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No · +$58 · May 31, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 16?No · +$128 · May 17, 2026
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · +$3 · May 13, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?No · +$16 · May 13, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?No · -$12 · Apr 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.