500pavel · Polymarket wallet 0x90b9…1057

Wallet snapshot

500pavel has made 153 trades on Polymarket across 77 markets, $1,318 in volume. Most of it is in politics (40%) and geopolitics (26%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 58.1%, lifetime P&L +$35. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?". Last trade: Sep 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No · $52 · 99¢ → 100¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo · $12 · 65¢ → 72¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $10 · 57¢ → 60¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $6 · 53¢ → 62¢
• Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes · $1 · 53¢ → 33¢
• Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 1¢ → 1¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 17¢ → 9¢
• Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 9¢ → 6¢
• Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 1, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · -$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · -$0 · Sep 1, 2026

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