Polymarket wallet 0x8f4e…7c93

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8f4e…7c93 has made 146 trades on Polymarket across 84 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (59%) and sports (16%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 78.2%, lifetime P&L -$119. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $267 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $238 · 80¢ → 96¢
• Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes · $152 · 48¢ → 37¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $102 · 95¢ → 96¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $99 · 62¢ → 62¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes · +$54 · Oct 6, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$24 · Oct 6, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No · +$12 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$7 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$50 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes · -$12 · Sep 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.