necobra · Polymarket wallet 0x8c95…42a6

Wallet snapshot

necobra has made 256 trades on Polymarket across 67 markets, $4,288 in volume. Most of it is in sports (28%) and geopolitics (24%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 74.2%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $119 · 78¢ → 85¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?No · $32 · 89¢ → 96¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 38¢ → 47¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$3 · Sep 16, 2026
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No · -$14 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes · +$6 · Jul 8, 2026
• Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?No · -$0 · Jul 5, 2026
• Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceYes · -$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No · +$4 · Jul 3, 2026
• Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceYes · +$1 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?Yes · -$1 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes · +$10 · Feb 5, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?No · +$1 · Feb 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.