cmuluis · Polymarket wallet 0x8c26…782a

Wallet snapshot

cmuluis has made 170 trades on Polymarket across 49 markets, $40K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (27%) and geopolitics (21%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 85.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $4 · 98¢ → 100¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 84¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No · +$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No · -$5 · Aug 1, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No · -$3 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No · -$5 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No · -$3 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?No · -$5 · Aug 1, 2026
• Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 15, 2026
• Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 15, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.