Hersdurk · Polymarket wallet 0x87a5…e43e

Wallet snapshot

Hersdurk has made 385 trades on Polymarket across 236 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (37%) and economics (22%). On 228 resolved markets the win rate is 84.6%, lifetime P&L -$7. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?Yes · $83 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?No · $6 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $3 · 15¢ → 13¢
• Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · +$3 · Oct 11, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No · $0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No · +$18 · Oct 5, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$16 · Oct 1, 2026
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?No · $0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?No · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026

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