Polymarket wallet 0x8762…e301

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8762…e301 has made 184 trades on Polymarket across 101 markets, $336 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (12%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 58%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · $1 · 56¢ → 77¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 74¢ → 86¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 67¢ → 68¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 36¢
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

• Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes · +$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.