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Politics4 days left

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$2.7K
91 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 45 traders

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?

11 MARKETS · $38.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 21¢
YES 22%NO 78%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 21¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+11 new YES · 3 smart whales+10 new NO · 5 smart whales
$109 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 4 on YES
YES 3NO 1one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $10·NO $6
YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+118.7%)
Whales
4
S
Sema1994🥇
Entry 22¢·24 shares
$-0INV $5 · WR 63.2%
E
Extra-Large-Chaos🥈
Entry 7¢·35 shares
+$5INV $2 · WR 68.7%
R
Repentant-Inscription🥉
Entry 27¢·6 shares
$-0INV $2 · WR 85.6%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window
Entry 2¢·34.6 shares
+$7INV $1 · WR 55.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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