LordButcher · Polymarket wallet 0x865d…16bd

Wallet snapshot

LordButcher has made 5,469 trades on Polymarket across 695 markets, $239K in volume. Most of it is in politics (27%) and geopolitics (22%). On 685 resolved markets the win rate is 67.9%, lifetime P&L -$11. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $346 · 70¢ → 87¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $194 · 83¢ → 65¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?No · $88 · 84¢ → 88¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?No · $85 · 81¢ → 85¢
• Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Yes · $32 · 12¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$19 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?No · +$10 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?No · +$15 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$42 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$340 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$310 · Oct 6, 2026

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