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12 days left

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$13.0K
386 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 96 traders

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

14 MARKETS · $157.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$34+7 new NO$420
$22 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $390·NO $1.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$395
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$220(-55.7%)
Whales
5
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 25¢·1,144.2 shares
$-191INV $283 · WR 55.6%
G
GellerCharlie🥈
Entry 13¢·608.5 shares
$-13INV $80 · WR 71.9%
J
just-bettor🥉
Entry 23¢·100 shares
$-12INV $23 · WR 58.3%
G
grasstoucher69hedged
Entry 38¢·13.6 shares·also $296 on NO
$-4INV $5 · WR 58.1%
L
lemonmina
Entry 11¢·40 shares
+$0INV $4 · WR 85.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October