Shimmering-Steppingstone · Polymarket wallet 0x825f…f863

Wallet snapshot

Shimmering-Steppingstone has made 14 trades on Polymarket across 11 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in sports (70%) and geopolitics (20%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $21 · 50¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 50¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETYes · +$2 · Apr 16, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETYes · +$2 · Apr 16, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down on March 31?No · +$2 · Apr 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETYes · -$2,805 · Mar 28, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETNo · +$2,805 · Mar 28, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No · -$6 · Mar 28, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?No · +$0 · Mar 21, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down on February 21?Yes · +$0 · Mar 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.