Ornery-Normal · Polymarket wallet 0x8085…30cb

Wallet snapshot

Ornery-Normal has made 165 trades on Polymarket across 85 markets, $1,138 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (54%) and sports (20%). On 74 resolved markets the win rate is 86.5%, lifetime P&L +$20. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No · $31 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $11 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?No · $11 · 82¢ → 87¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No · $10 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $10 · 88¢ → 91¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $10 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No · $10 · 93¢ → 89¢
• Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $9 · 94¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$1 · Jul 7, 2026
• Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No · -$1 · Jul 7, 2026
• European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.