tokyo-ghoul · Polymarket wallet 0x7988…21b3

Wallet snapshot

tokyo-ghoul has made 562 trades on Polymarket across 115 markets, $22K in volume. Most of it is in politics (63%) and sports (10%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 72.7%. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · $147 · 90¢ → 87¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $3 · 17¢ → 9¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $3 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $3 · 98¢ → 97¢
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2 · 98¢ → 97¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2 · 98¢ → 90¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $1 · 52¢ → 14¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1 · 97¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · +$5 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · +$0 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?Yes · +$2 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes · +$12 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No · +$30 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes · +$0 · Feb 26, 2026

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