tom3159 · Polymarket wallet 0x7841…ab8c

Wallet snapshot

tom3159 has made 81 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $8,733 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (31%) and sports (27%). On 46 resolved markets the win rate is 84.8%, lifetime P&L +$499. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $12 · 82¢ → 97¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $11 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $10 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 96¢ → 99¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?No · $10 · 88¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $10 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $5 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · $5 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · $2 · 63¢ → 97¢
• Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?No · $1 · 95¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETNo · +$0 · Sep 14, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No · +$0 · Aug 18, 2026
• Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes · +$0 · Aug 8, 2026
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETYes · +$0 · Jul 12, 2026

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