CertifiedShuga · Polymarket wallet 0x7662…a206

Wallet snapshot

CertifiedShuga has made 155 trades on Polymarket across 46 markets, $2,071 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (22%). On 40 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$10. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jun 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1 · 94¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes · -$3 · Jun 26, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jun 25, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No · +$0 · Jun 25, 2026
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes · $0 · Jun 24, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · $0 · Jun 23, 2026
• Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes · +$5 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jun 21, 2026

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