GeopoliticsResolved
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.30M
19,550 trades
Smart Whales
183
of 6,278 traders
Smart Money Consensus
99 YESvs84 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$158.9K
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$14.4K(+9.0%)
Whales
99
T
Top1-J🥇
Entry 99¢·70,337.5 shares
Invested
$69.9K
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$432
+$432INV $69.9K · WR 94.5%
B
BeneGesseritVoice◆Proven🥈
Entry 93¢·46,835.4 shares
Invested
$43.6K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$3282
+$3282INV $43.6K · WR 73.0%
H
Huludubu🥉
Entry 62¢·14,116.8 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$5319
+$5319INV $8.8K · WR 65.1%
G
GollumGekkohedged
Entry 90¢·9,418.8 shares·also $536 on NO
Invested
$8.5K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$902
+$902INV $8.5K · WR 75.9%
K
kl1v
Entry 91¢·3,231 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$291
+$291INV $2.9K · WR 81.3%
D
degensruletheworld
Entry 90¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $2.7K · WR 64.3%
T
Tenebrus7hedged
Entry 89¢·2,961 shares·also $181 on NO
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$325
+$325INV $2.6K · WR 74.2%
O
Orion96
Entry 95¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $1.9K · WR 67.7%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven
Entry 85¢·1,975 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$290
+$290INV $1.7K · WR 74.6%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 88¢·1,827.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $1.6K · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 99
NO Team
Total Invested
$21.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$12.1K(-56.7%)
Whales
84
D
Doomsday77🥇
Entry 128¢·2,102.3 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-2683
$-2683INV $2.7K · WR 65.0%
D
DessertFalcon🥈
Entry 8¢·32,805.8 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2538
$-2538INV $2.5K · WR 72.2%
K
Ko-san-123🥉
Entry 55¢·2,658.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-1461
$-1461INV $1.5K · WR 82.6%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 34¢·3,109.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-1065
$-1065INV $1.1K · WR 65.3%
F
FishermansFiend
Entry 59¢·1,600.2 shares
Invested
$940
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-940
$-940INV $940 · WR 71.9%
G
generalVR
Entry 37¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$745
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-745
$-745INV $745 · WR 65.6%
M
Moonshot1019
Entry 42¢·1,723.5 shares
Invested
$716
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-716
$-716INV $716 · WR 58.0%
M
Mataty1hedged
Entry 60¢·921.5 shares·also $534 on YES
Invested
$555
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-555
$-555INV $555 · WR 72.2%
G
GollumGekkohedged
Entry 13¢·4,219.1 shares·also $8.5K on YES
Invested
$536
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-536
$-536INV $536 · WR 75.9%
B
Bloombergg
Entry 55¢·909.1 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-500
$-500INV $500 · WR 61.4%
Showing top 10 of 84
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