manihiki · Polymarket wallet 0x761b…2b61

Wallet snapshot

manihiki has made 340 trades on Polymarket across 76 markets, $9,855 in volume. Most of it is in politics (16%) and sports (8%). On 73 resolved markets the win rate is 79.5%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Aug 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $62 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $49 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $2 · 10¢ → 2¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 6¢ → 2¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 5¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No · +$8 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$10 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$9 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?No · +$4 · Jun 20, 2026
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?No · +$0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?No · +$0 · May 23, 2026
• Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.