afraids · Polymarket wallet 0x74bd…b3bb

Wallet snapshot

afraids has made 39 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $566 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and sports (26%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 86.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: May 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $16 · 98¢ → 97¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $7 · 38¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$1 · May 11, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$2 · May 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETYes · +$2 · Mar 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETYes · +$1 · Mar 10, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No · +$1 · Mar 10, 2026
• Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No · +$1 · Jan 23, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No · +$0 · Dec 17, 2025
• Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No · +$0 · Dec 11, 2025
• Maduro out in 2025?No · +$1 · Dec 10, 2025

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