Far-Flung-Dogsled · Polymarket wallet 0x6ead…14f8

+$1,497 lifetime P&L · 61.3% win rate · 199 resolved markets · 0x6ead18ed0a6dd44425e26db30db9eb5a28a914f8

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Wallet snapshot

Far-Flung-Dogsled has made 726 trades on Polymarket across 226 markets, $49K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (70%) and sports (16%). On 199 resolved markets the win rate is 61.3%, lifetime P&L +$1,497. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes · $216 · 67¢ → 68¢
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?Yes · $166 · 29¢ → 56¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?No · $116 · 55¢ → 65¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No · $103 · 54¢ → 65¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $102 · 59¢ → 60¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31?No · $101 · 67¢ → 68¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · $99 · 86¢ → 85¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $97 · 60¢ → 58¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $87 · 56¢ → 49¢
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?Yes · $82 · 52¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · -$167 · Nov 5, 2026
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · -$102 · Nov 5, 2026
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Yes · -$41 · Nov 5, 2026
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes · -$34 · Nov 5, 2026
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?Yes · +$50 · Nov 4, 2026
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?Yes · +$5 · Nov 4, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.