Geopolitics114 days left
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$90.3K
1,236 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 262 traders
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
19 MARKETS · $207.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs15 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$50+4 new NO$89
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $1.8K·NO $377YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$371(-20.4%)
Whales
6
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 44¢·3,591.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-311
$-311INV $1.6K · WR 77.9%
0
0x0011db8d...🥈
Entry 49¢·368.9 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $182 · WR 56.1%
R
Ribot🥉
Entry 37¢·95 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $35 · WR 58.7%
K
KiruaTradinghedged
Entry 48¢·41 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $20 · WR 61.2%
D
DorTovim
Entry 41¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 72.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 3¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 79.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$140(+13.3%)
Whales
15
A
Antony82🥇
Entry 55¢·500.8 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $276 · WR 63.5%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 56¢·299.7 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $169 · WR 85.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 58¢·225 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $131 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 61¢·172 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $105 · WR 86.1%
F
Far-Flung-Dogsled
Entry 56¢·180 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $101 · WR 61.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 64¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $78 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 53¢·112 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $60 · WR 87.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 59¢·68.8 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $40 · WR 69.9%
K
KiruaTradinghedged
Entry 62¢·41 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 61.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 89.0%
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