Alarmed-Hydrocarbon · Polymarket wallet 0x6ae3…3197

Wallet snapshot

Alarmed-Hydrocarbon has made 36 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $141 in volume. Most of it is in politics (50%) and geopolitics (22%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 100%, lifetime P&L +$9. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jul 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $21 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes · $9 · 77¢ → 66¢
• Will Alberta join the US? No · $8 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $1 · 59¢ → 83¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $1 · 74¢ → 97¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $1 · 84¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $1 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No · $1 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $1 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No · $1 · 97¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes · +$2 · Sep 17, 2026
• Haiti elections delayed again?Yes · +$0 · Aug 10, 2026
• Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Xi Jinping out by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

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