Truthful-Mariachi · Polymarket wallet 0x6818…6021

Wallet snapshot

Truthful-Mariachi has made 29 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $66 in volume. Most of it is in economics (40%) and politics (32%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 76.2%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Aug 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $13 · 74¢ → 95¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $2 · 56¢ → 48¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes · $1 · 88¢ → 11¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1 · 84¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Yes · +$0 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$5 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes · -$1 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes · -$1 · Jul 29, 2026
• Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jan 11, 2026
• Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes · -$1 · Jan 11, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 11, 2026
• China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 11, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 11, 2026
• Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 11, 2025

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