2481632641282565121024 · Polymarket wallet 0x630b…3339

Wallet snapshot

2481632641282565121024 has made 199 trades on Polymarket across 42 markets, $33K in volume. Most of it is in economics (48%) and geopolitics (33%). On 35 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$1,850. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $5,706 · 54¢ → 89¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No · $1,195 · 87¢ → 95¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $932 · 85¢ → 99¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes · $337 · 16¢ → 12¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $99 · 58¢ → 96¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $88 · 88¢ → 78¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $75 · 77¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$790 · Oct 10, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No · +$68 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes · -$583 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes · -$31 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$71 · Sep 16, 2026

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