lonelychrismas · Polymarket wallet 0x5f0d…dde8

Wallet snapshot

lonelychrismas has made 52 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (44%) and geopolitics (17%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 70.6%, lifetime P&L +$175. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $50 · 89¢ → 96¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $23 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 95¢ → 99¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $7 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $5 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $5 · 88¢ → 85¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes · +$0 · Jun 13, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes · +$0 · May 14, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No · +$0 · May 14, 2026
• Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.