MarcelGermany · Polymarket wallet 0x5bdc…4ea6

Wallet snapshot

MarcelGermany has made 93 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $5,524 in volume. Most of it is in politics (53%) and geopolitics (27%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 84.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?". Last trade: Jan 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No · $52 · 90¢ → 95¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes · $3 · 11¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · +$12 · Jan 12, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes · -$53 · Jan 8, 2026
• Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?Yes · +$19 · Jan 4, 2026
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$176 · Jan 3, 2026
• New Pope in 2025?Yes · -$106 · May 8, 2025
• Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?No · +$1 · May 6, 2025
• Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes · +$7 · May 6, 2025
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?No · +$4 · Apr 30, 2025
• Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?Yes · -$131 · Apr 19, 2025
• Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?Yes · +$40 · Apr 14, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.