gpo.lisboa · Polymarket wallet 0x5bda…9466

Wallet snapshot

gpo.lisboa has made 99 trades on Polymarket across 50 markets, $8,555 in volume. Most of it is in politics (98%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 90%, lifetime P&L +$730. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election?". Last trade: Nov 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · $224 · 82¢ → 77¢
• Will the Democrats win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · $196 · 80¢ → 66¢
• Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · $193 · 85¢ → 81¢
• Will the Democrats win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · $188 · 69¢ → 78¢
• Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · $153 · 19¢ → 21¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $112 · 5¢ → 6¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $100 · 6¢ → 5¢
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $98 · 2¢ → 1¢
• Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $90 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $87 · 3¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?Yes · +$27 · Nov 8, 2026
• Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · +$57 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$3 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-0.3%?Yes · -$5 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes · +$117 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes · +$21 · Nov 5, 2026

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