Resolved53 days left
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10.6K
150 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 71 traders · 1 on both sides
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
4 MARKETS · $18.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs2 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$4.5K+21 new NO$160
$101 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$21 of $426 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $362·NO $44YES Team
Total Invested
$372
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$157(+42.2%)
Whales
3
J
jumpingjehoshaphat🥇
Entry 71¢·499.2 shares
Invested
$355
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $355 · WR 65.5%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈hedged
Entry 52¢·20 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 58.7%
D
DonKarabas🥉
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 55.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$59(-100.0%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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