3f5ge45g4f4f · Polymarket wallet 0x5a86…3e7b

Wallet snapshot

3f5ge45g4f4f has made 147 trades on Polymarket across 122 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in sports (40%) and geopolitics (16%). On 113 resolved markets the win rate is 73.5%, lifetime P&L +$30. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No · $4 · 85¢ → 91¢
• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 87¢ → 93¢
• Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 72¢ → 90¢
• Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No · $2 · 81¢ → 93¢
• Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?No · $2 · 81¢ → 89¢
• Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?Yes · $2 · 89¢ → 92¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 90¢ → 93¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $2 · 96¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on September 21?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No · +$0 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.