PoliticsResolved
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$57.5K
3,417 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 1,044 traders
Smart Money Consensus
33 YESvs31 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $553 is directional: YES $164·NO $390YES Team
Total Invested
$515
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$140(-27.2%)
Whales
33
L
letmeinthetournamentplease🥇
Entry 28¢·400 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $110 · WR 56.1%
T
TeemuPukki🥈hedged
Entry 42¢·217.2 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $90 · WR 80.4%
F
FrozenParasite🥉
Entry 10¢·592.7 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $62 · WR 56.4%
W
Worthy-Lamenthedged
Entry 91¢·52.6 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $48 · WR 61.6%
D
Dangerous-Landmine
Entry 15¢·201.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $30 · WR 59.3%
V
Virulents
Entry 46¢·43.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $20 · WR 60.6%
P
parfaitparfait
Entry 18¢·105 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 57.5%
5
0x5b18f614...hedged
Entry 78¢·22.7 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $18 · WR 70.6%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven
Entry 15¢·67.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 70.2%
R
Rodrigoomp
Entry 46¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 33
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$866(+55.0%)
Whales
31
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 64¢·718.1 shares
Invested
$462
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $462 · WR 85.8%
N
nicoco89🥈
Entry 55¢·611.1 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $337 · WR 62.6%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥉
Entry 83¢·201.9 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $167 · WR 87.6%
P
paspor
Entry 70¢·182.1 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $127 · WR 85.8%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 73¢·149.9 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $109 · WR 85.1%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 18¢·400 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$265
+$265INV $70 · WR 66.4%
T
TeemuPukkihedged
Entry 28¢·217.2 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $61 · WR 80.4%
S
shine
Entry 77¢·80 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $61 · WR 89.3%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 63¢·40 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 89.0%
A
archaic
Entry 75¢·30.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $23 · WR 86.8%
Showing top 10 of 31
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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