GeopoliticsResolved
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$2.2K
130 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 42 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs5 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $1·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$135(+271.1%)
Whales
7
G
gerip🥇
Entry 36¢·75 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $27 · WR 90.4%
O
Oskoreiter🥈
Entry 10¢·106.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $11 · WR 55.8%
3
3f5ge45g4f4f🥉
Entry 89¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 73.5%
B
0xbadaf319...hedged
Entry 77¢·3.8 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 67.4%
Z
Zelenkin
Entry 89¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 72.6%
S
SubashChandraBose
Entry 53¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 81.3%
T
TheNameisUnknown
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 59.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-74.3%)
Whales
5
G
G24L8🥇
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $34 · WR 67.7%
F
friendlyusername🥈
Entry 60¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $16 · WR 58.7%
B
0xbadaf319...🥉hedged
Entry 184¢·4.2 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 67.4%
G
goodman-1
Entry 14¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 80.0%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 1¢·68.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 66.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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