friendlyusername · Polymarket wallet 0xea30…f2a9

Wallet snapshot

friendlyusername has made 1,154 trades on Polymarket across 162 markets, $65K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (67%) and politics (10%). On 143 resolved markets the win rate is 58.7%, lifetime P&L +$1,200. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $193 · 92¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $86 · 86¢ → 86¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · $44 · 39¢ → 44¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No · $38 · 35¢ → 38¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $34 · 36¢ → 34¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes · $15 · 31¢ → 22¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes · $11 · 12¢ → 5¢
• Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?No · $6 · 60¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No · +$20 · Sep 19, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No · +$50 · Sep 16, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?No · +$373 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$12 · Sep 3, 2026
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No · -$15 · Sep 2, 2026
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No · +$73 · Aug 31, 2026
• Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.