Parched-Grandson · Polymarket wallet 0x57c9…64e7

Wallet snapshot

Parched-Grandson has made 79 trades on Polymarket across 54 markets, $76 in volume. Most of it is in sports (57%) and geopolitics (28%). On 49 resolved markets the win rate is 63.3%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 76¢ → 84¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $1 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $1 · 91¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$2 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$1 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes · +$2 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jun 6, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$0 · May 16, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes · +$1 · May 16, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by May 31?No · -$0 · May 16, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by June 30?No · -$1 · May 3, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes · +$2 · May 1, 2026
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No · +$2 · May 1, 2026

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